Many investors understand what dividends are. However, not many realized that there is another type of invisible dividends that is called the share repurchase. Both shares repurchase and dividends have its advantages and disadvantages. What is share repurchase? When a company decides to purchase its own shares, it is called a share repurchase. Normally this is done by buying shares from the … [Read more...]
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Why this company’s stock price plunged despite large profit announcement?
Q: Wilfred, Company X5 announced on 8th March 2018 that its full year results for 2017 was US$163 million in earnings. This was significantly larger than that in 2016 of only $6.7 million. However, its stock price plunge by –17.2% since then even taking into account of dividends. Why is this so? The S&P 500 total return during the same period was -2.33%. Answer: There could be many … [Read more...]
Human capital and investing in employee stock benefits
Today I would like to introduce the concept of human capital and briefly touch on employee stock purchase program. What is human capital? Human capital is simply the ability to earn money by working. If you earn $5000 a month and has 30 more years of working life, the human capital is 5000 x 12 x 30 = $1.8 million assuming no pay increment and inflation is zero. Because the human capital is … [Read more...]
Investors always buy high and sell low regardless of asset classes
Do you know that most investors buy high and sell low? The following are some evidence to show that investors always buy high and sell low. The bar chart shows the net equity cash flow (in USD) into mutual funds. On the other hand, the line chart is the year-on-year returns of MSCI AC World USD. The pattern shows that when the stock market was rising, many investors would buy equity funds. But … [Read more...]
7 real reasons why most investors are not successful
Long time ago, the only way people can invest was by investing in stocks. However, not everybody had the expertise to pick stocks. Moreover, most people were busy working. So, they did not have time to monitor their stocks. As a result, stock picking was based on rumors, hearsay. When times were good, investors borrow money (leverage) to invest more thinking that the stock market would continue to … [Read more...]
$300m company’s share price sliding down like a falling knife (not referring to Noble)
By now, everybody is aware that Noble’s share has been on a decline by a large magnitude. In fact, its share price is down by a whopping 98.43% compared to 5 years ago Like Noble, there is another company’s share price that has been sliding down. Unlike Noble, we do not hear much in the news of its dismay stock price performance. is a well-known company that is worth $300 million in terms … [Read more...]
Share price plunged despite good cash conversion cycle
is a technology company listed in Hong Kong. It is a highly efficient company in terms of its cash conversion cycle but it has caused shareholders to lose huge amount of money over the past few years. The share price has plunged by more than 60% although the Hang Seng Index is up by 20%. I will provide a possible reason for the large decline in share price. The following are the … [Read more...]
Why this company has high profitability but still lose money?
One of my client asked me about a particular company that is listed in Hong Kong and Shenzhen. She wanted to buy this company. is not a small company. It has a market capitalization of HKD 173 billion or about SGD 30 billion. (For reference, the average market capitalization of the STI is 34 billion.) More than 90% of its customers are from China. Recently, the share price surged like … [Read more...]
Paying dividends from borrowings
In 2015, I met a client who engaged me for comprehensive financial planning. But I was quite frustrated with the outcome because the client did not take up most of my recommendations. In particular, I recalled he did not take my advice to invest in a diversified portfolio. Instead, he preferred to invest 100% of his investable money in just one company. paid very good dividends and was a … [Read more...]
Property investment is illogical especially when its > 100% of networth
Update 30/11/2017: See article: MAS flags risks from 'excessive exuberance' in property market For those who has read my blog for some time is well aware that I am against the way many Singaporeans invest in properties. In this blog, I will be doing the same except that I will be providing more figures to proof that property investment is an illogical investment. Myth #1: Assuming interest … [Read more...]
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